Friday, February 20, 2009

No dominant teams

It's become clear that there is no dominant team this year. While there are nine teams that currently have final four potential, only one (UNC) is even close to the offensive efficiency of recent champions.

These are in order of probability of winning the title.




Team
Def Eff
Off Eff
RPI
North Carolina
16
2
3
Connecticut
4
17
4
Missouri
10
12
13
Duke
7
18
5
Memphis
1
31
8
West Virginia
6
30
14
Michigan State
15
24
6
Kansas
11
28
8
Wake Forest
8
46
15


Here are three teams that most think are contenders and while they each have the offensive efficiency needed to win it all, they lack the defensive efficiency required (and RPI in UCLA's case). Pitt in particular gets a ton of pub for having a tough defense,but that's not reflected in their defensive stats (at least not at this point).



Team
Def Eff
Off Eff
RPI
Pittsburgh
31
1
1
UCLA
32
3
26
Oklahoma
49
4
2

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