Friday, February 13, 2009

Contenders begin to shake out

We've ratcheted up (or down) the criteria to only include teams with an RPI of 16 or less, as 95% of the teams to make the final four in the last 5 years have met this threshold. Through games of February 11 these teams currently meet criteria for Final Four:
TeamDef Eff RankOff Eff RankRPI Rank
Connecticut
5
5
3
North Carolina
21
1
5
Missouri
18
8
16
Michigan State
20
15
7


Why not the 3 below? All three of these teams have the offensive capability to win the national championship. However, Pittsburgh's defensive efficiency of 29 doesn't meet the criteria, nor does UCLA's defensive efficiency ranking or RPI. Oklahoma is the furthest away with a defensive efficiency of 52.
TeamDef Eff RankOff Eff Rank RPI Rank
Pittsburgh
29
2
1
UCLA
26
3
26
Oklahoma
52
4
2

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