Friday, May 1, 2009
We've moved
CUOrange Press Release
CUOrange is proud to announce that in the coming weeks we will be upgrading our site due to the ever increasing interest in our site.
This upgrade will require a new, though similar address, so please bookmark the new address when we notified of the change.
This upgrade will allow us to post relevant video content and enhance our reader's experience.
From his office, CUOrange President and CEO Marty Coleman said, "Our readership and the public at large has been demanding this upgrade for some time. We have grown to the point where our current site cannot keep up with the demand and we refuse to compromise our customer's viewing experience. It is our intent to complete this upgrade within the next two weeks with no interruption in service to our loyal readers."
CUOrange saw their site hits explode when the editors successfully picked the NCAA basketball champion from a field of 65 in March.
CUOrange will maintain this site for an undetermined period of time in order to faciliate the move to the new software.
Friday Follies
Clemson fans have been known to be creative. Especially when it involves torturing our feathered friends from Columbia. There was the billboard and of course the YouTube Video of Hitler set to subtitles of Spurrier ranting over the latest loss to the Tigers and a lowly ACC team (again).
This week we share a couple of pictures discovered while cruising the Internet on Clemson sites. One doctored a bit, the other simply titled "Our Rivalry Is Broken".
Thursday, April 30, 2009
Clemson baseball statistical analysis
Sunday, April 26, 2009
Tigers take 2 of 3 from Jackets
Friday, April 24, 2009
Friday Follies
Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Clemson unloads on Gamecocks, 12-2
This evening it took the Tigers until the 6th inning to get a hit, but then the floodgates opened for 12 runs over the last 4 innings, including a solo home run by Ben Paulsen and a 3 run shot by Kyle Parker. Parker finished the night 2-4 with 3 runs scored and 3 RBI.
Clemson finished the game with 11 hits, while holding South Carolina (27-15) to 6.
Parker now sits at .301 with 10 home runs and 45 RBI. Not bad for a guy who started the first two weeks of the season in the .130 range.
Scott Weismann started for the Tigers and pitched 4 shutout innings. Matt Vaughn (3-1) followed with 3 shutout innings to pick up the win. Thomas Cruz finished the game for the Tigers allowing two runs in two innings.
Make no mistake, this team still has some shortcomings and will struggle against good pitching in the regionals. Defense can also be a question mark at times. However, the last two nights the Tigers have showed some resiliency, first at home and then on the road in a hostile environment against their arch rival that has dominated the series lately.
How far, if anywhere, will these two wins take the Tigers? We'll begin to find out Friday against Georgia Tech in the first game of a three game series in Clemson.
Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Schaus' 2 out grand slam in 9th lifts Tigers
Sunday, April 19, 2009
Tigers salvage game 3
Thursday, April 16, 2009
The Legend of Kyle Parker
I've seen athletes at Clemson compete in two sports before, most notably Mike Eppley as a QB for the football team and point guard for the basketball team in the 80s. Eppley was good at both sports, but he wasn't the burgeoning superstar that Parker is in baseball (All ACC and Freshman All-American in what should have been his senior year of high school) or the celebrated QB that Parker was (Elite 11 QB, 10th ranked pro-style QB) coming out of high school.
There were some who said Kyle Parker would never play a down of college football because of Willy Korn. I'm here to tell you they were wrong. I have no idea if he will be a super star QB, a four year starter, or even start this fall. My guess is he will play and he will play well. It's rapidly becoming apparent that Parker has the focus and drive to be good in two sports and we are just beginning to see the athlete that Parker will become.
Parker's slam leads Clemson
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Spring football thoughts
Coaching
This is one of the biggest question marks for me. Love Dabo, but he is unproven. While it's not completely fair to judge him solely by what occurred on the field over the final 7 games last year, there are definitely things that need to be improved upon, namely the timing and tempo of the offense, getting plays in quickly, efficient use of timeouts and better play calling.
While the defense has upgraded the staff with veteran, proven hires (Kevin Steele, Dan Pearman, Charlie Harbison, Dan Brooks), the offensive staff remained largely intact since Dabo took over the team in October. The biggest questions center on Dabo himself and 29 year old Billy Napier as the OC. Both are unproven and untested.
Quarterback
Both Willy Korn and Kyle Parker have shown they can play the position at this level, albeit in the spring. Parker seems to have pulled ahead in the last week of the spring. My guess is that both get significant and meaningful snaps early in the year. Parker has the stronger arm, but Korn has touch and is a better runner.
Whichever, QB goes under center (or in the shotgun) on September 5 is not going to have much, if any, experience - Korn has 100+ snaps over two seasons, while Parker is a redshirt Freshman. Inexperience will play a huge role here.
Running Back
C.J. Spiller. Enough said. All reports have been favorable on Jamie Harper (lost 20 lbs) and Andre Ellington appears to be developing into the "next C.J. Spiller". Behind Spiller there is little experience with Harper and Ellington.
Rendrick Taylor, all 260 lbs of him, has shown a capability to pick up some tough yards, which is something this team has missed the last few years. How many carries he gets is debatable.
Offensive Line
This group should be improved, but being improved when you aren't very good is relative. I think there are still some weak links here and that doesn't bode well for the Tigers offense in '09. Having a quarterback that is not a statue will help.
Receivers
Jacoby Ford needs to have a huge year. Another big question mark is who is going to replace Aaron Kelly and Tyler Grisham. Though several players had their moments, no one jumped out as likely candidates. My guess is that RS Freshmen Jaron Brown and Brandon Ford step up at some point in the season, but that's just a guess as I have never seen them under game conditions. Neither has played a down of college football.
Defense
A lot less worries on this side of the ball, mainly because of the returning players and solid coaching staff.
The defensive line is talented, but thin. Rennie Moore, Jamie Cumbie, DaQuan Bowers and Miguel Chavis all had good springs. Add in Jarvis Jenkins and Brandon Thompson, plus Rickey Sapp returning from injury and you have to be encouraged.
I expect a big jump in linebacker play with Steele on the staff, though the type of linebacker Vic Koenning recruited is not the same as Steele prefers.
The defensive backs seem to be in good shape, but one area of concern is the safety position opposite DeAndre McDaniel. I don't care how well you tell me Sadat Chambers played this spring. I think this is a weak link in the defensive backfield.
All in all though, I would expect another defense in the top 20 range, with more pressure put on the quarterback due to Steele's philosophy versus that of Koenning.
Kicking
Huge concerns here as both Buccholz and Maners have departed. Richard Jackson and Spencer Benton have been inconsistent in the spring on placements while Dawson Zimmerman is the lead horse for the punting job.
Benton has grown more consistent as the spring wore on and I am guessing he beats out Jackson, though Jackson may be the designated long-field goal kicker with his strong leg. This is an area that could cost the Tigers this year.
Zimmerman, who punted 12 times as a true freshman last year, should be serviceable as a punter.
Overall
The Tigers have some major holes. A definite winning season took a slight detour when it was announced that TCU would replace Idaho who had replaced Central Michigan on the schedule. Another schedule wrench was thrown in when the ACC in its infinite wisdom decided that Clemson and Georgia Tech would play in Atlanta on the Thursday after the opening weekend.
The Tigers non-conference schedule has been upgraded (Middle Tennessee (beat Maryland last year), TCU, Coastal Carolina, and South Carolina) and Miami replaced Duke on the conference schedule. So, on paper at least, the schedule is more difficult.
Add all that in with a rookie head coach and offensive coordinator, inexperienced quarterbacks and receivers, along with a shaky offensive line and you have a recipe for a season similar to last years. The big question is can the change in attitude and toughness (I'll believe it when I see it) make the difference in so many close games that the Tigers have lost over the last few years.
Tigers bash Catamounts
Monday, April 13, 2009
Tigers take 2 of 3 from Miami
In Sunday's rubber game Matt Sanders went 3-4 with a home run and 4 RBI to lead the Tigers at the plate, while 5 Clemson pitchers held off the Hurricanes (25-10, 11-7) in a 9-6 victory.
Thursday, April 9, 2009
Final College Hoops Thoughts
I'm not claiming to be able to predict champions - what I did was looked at the attributes of teams in the past that have won the national championship and applied it to this years teams.
On the other hand, the mouths that people listen to, look up to and hold up as the greatest prognosticators ever, well, fell flat on their face.
On SI.com, 3 of the 5 had the right champion, but of the 20 picks for the final four only 8 made it. 2 had Wake Forest in the final four and they didn't win a game.
On Fox Sports, Jeff Goodman had one of the final four teams and came in 569th in the pool.
Also on Fox, Jason Whitlock gave us 10 picks we could book. Problem is, Whitlock's 10 locks went 4-6.
Colin Cowherd is widely thought of to be dead spot on with his picks. While, it's since been removed from his web site (shocker!), Cowherd came in 3rd on his own show (just ahead of the two women) out of 5 contestants. Somewhere around 50,000 people came out ahead of him in his own pick 'em. Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
The facts are that in the last 6 years no team has made the final four with a defensive efficiency of less than 25. In those same 6 years, the eventual champion had an offensive efficiency of no lower than 4. 3 of the 6 were ranked #1 in offensive efficiency, including North Carolina this year.
So while people were saying Louisville or Memphis and maybe even Connecticut, I knew these teams didn't stand a chance (statistically speaking). Then Duke and Pittsburgh went out and it became clear that UNC would win it all. And they did.
Tigers edge Gamecocks, 7-5
Wednesday, April 8, 2009
South Carolina rallies past Clemson
The Tigers managed to score 6 runs on only 7 hits, but South Carolina rallied for 2 in the ninth to beat the Tigers, 7-6.
Rematch tonight in Tigertown.
Sunday, April 5, 2009
Clemson takes 2 of 3 from Duke
Thursday, April 2, 2009
Tigers fall in 9th
The Tigers get back into ACC play Friday with a 3 game series against Duke.
Wednesday, April 1, 2009
Tigers fall at Georgia
Saturday, March 28, 2009
Tigers take 2 of 3 from BC
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Status: Clemson baseball
Tigers sweep Elon
Sunday, March 22, 2009
Tigers lose 2 of 3 in Tallahassee
Clemson (14-6, 5-4) blew a 9th inning lead to lose the third game at Florida State on Sunday.
The Tigers face Elon on Tuesday and Wednesday before trekking to Chestnut Hill, MA to face Boston College Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
Game 1 BoxGame 2 Box
Game 3 Box
Thursday, March 19, 2009
Ker-plunk
What showed in the end was that this was really a team of over-achieving 3 star role players who had played above their head for half a season - the first half of the season that is.
Three teams that can win it all
- Pittsburgh
- North Carolina
- Duke
Everyone seems to be off the Duke bandwagon after the sub-par performances the last couple of years in the tournament. Fair enough. Will that continue this year or will the Blue Devils break through? The numbers say that Duke is the closest statistical match to a national champion this year heading into the tournament, only missing the defensive efficiency requirement by 5 spots. Odds are that the Blue Devils will improve their defensive efficiency in the first two games this weekend. Yet this is a team that lost by 27 while only scoring 47 against Clemson in early February, and has lost to UNC twice, so questions remain.
Which brings us to Pittsburgh and North Carolina. Both have stellar offensive units (ranked 1 and 2 respectively), both have mediocre defenses (ranked 34th and 35th respectively). These defensive ratings indicate they aren't contenders for the title. But remember, they potentially have 6 games (including bottom feeders in game 1) to improve that ranking.
The wild card is Ty Lawson's injury (or any one's injury for that matter). If he plays without the effects you have to like UNC's chances. If he doesn't play or plays injured you don't.
Duke and North Carolina could end up playing each other in the South Regional Final. North Carolina has beaten Duke twice this year. If they met for a third time who would have the advantage? North Carolina? Duke?
Over the last 5 years the worst defensive efficiency for a national champion was 12th. The lowest offensive efficiency was 4, which is why I wrote yesterday that Connecticut, Louisville and Memphis won't win it all.
The lone dark horse we see is Gonzaga, which happens to be ranked 6th in OE and 9th in DE. Problem is their schedule has not provided much competition except for Memphis in the last 19 games (18-1), so the RPI isn't where it should be. Yet this is a team that has beaten Tennessee twice, plus Oklahoma State and Maryland. To pick Gonzaga would mean a leap of faith that the Zags would end the season winning 24 of 25 and consistently beat much better competition than they have faced all year. Possible, but not likely.
The tournament truly appears to be wide open this year, with no dominant team establishing themselves as the clear cut favorite, at least statistically.
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Tigers no-hit USC-Upstate
Three teams that won't win it all
- Memphis
- Louisville
- Connecticut
While Memphis and Louisville have lock down defenses, they are going to have trouble scoring against better teams later in the tournament. Connecticut's offensive numbers are better, but still not good enough to win the championship and their defensive numbers are not near as good as Louisville or Memphis.
Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Pre-Tourney look at the contenders
Team | Def Eff | Off Eff | RPI |
Duke | |||
Connecticut | |||
Missouri | |||
Kansas | |||
Memphis | |||
Michigan State | |||
Louisville | |||
Washington | |||
Villanova | |||
Wake Forest |
Here are some teams to keep an eye on, the most intriguing one being Gonzaga, but remember only one of the last 20 final four teams has had an RPI out of the top 16. More realistically, Pittsburgh and North Carolina could move back into the top table with a couple of impressive outings this week.
Team | Def Eff | Off Eff | RPI |
Pittsburgh | |||
North Carolina | |||
Oklahoma | |||
West Virginia | |||
Purdue | |||
Gonzaga |
Monday, March 16, 2009
Charting Baseball at quarter season
7 Year Average | 2009 Clemson | |
Fielding % | ||
Earned Run Average | ||
Batting Avg | ||
Slugging % |
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Clemson vs. Michigan
Tigers finish off sweep of Wake
Friday, March 13, 2009
Parker, pitching power Tigers
Thursday, March 12, 2009
Tech cages Tigers
Tigers 6 Spartans 1
Three game series with Wake coming up this weekend.
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Clemson 15 Michigan State 2
Monday, March 9, 2009
Billy Clyde
But it was more than that. At A&M Gillispie had the opportunity to be THE guy they build statues of on campus or name the arena after when he retired. He could have been the guy that other coaches tried in vain to follow. He could have set the bench mark for success. At Kentucky? No matter how many games or championships he won he would never coach in Gillispie Arena or on Gillispie Court. He would always be trying desperately to live up to Rupp or Hall. In short, there was no way he was going to "succeed" at Kentucky.
Two years later Billy Clyde has a nice house and a 37-25 record (59.7%), including a 20-12 (62.5%) record in a weak SEC. He also is the proud owner of home losses to Gardner-Webb and Virginia Military Institute. He's lost 10 home games in two years, when the previous coach lost 19 home games in TEN years.
Kentucky slipped into the tourney last year then left without so much as a whimper. This year the Wildcats will most likely be playing in the NIT if they can hold their noses long enough to accept a bid.
It's going to take some time for Billy Clyde to restore his reputation and here's guessing it ain't going to happen in Lexington, Kentucky.
Heading into the conference tournaments
Team | Def Eff | Off Eff | RPI |
North Carolina | Duke | Connecticut | Kansas | Missouri | Michigan State | Memphis | Louisville | Washington | Wake Forest | Xavier |
Sunday, March 8, 2009
Wake beats Clemson again
Tar Heels take game 3, 9-8
Saturday, March 7, 2009
UNC 5 Clemson 2
It's early in the season, but a big game tomorrow. Would be nice to win the first conference series of the year, on the road at UNC.
Friday, March 6, 2009
Clemson 5 North Carolina 4 (10 innings)
Nice win by the Tigers, who saw a 4 run lead evaporate, but didn't give up on the road against a good UNC team.
Thursday, March 5, 2009
Can Pitt compete?
Team | Def Eff | Off Eff | RPI |
Duke | Connecticut | North Carolina | Missouri | Kansas | Memphis | Michigan State | Villanova | Washington | Louisville | Wake Forest |
Wednesday, March 4, 2009
Tigers pound UNC-Asheville 17-2
Tigers awaken in second half
The Tigers had 10 turnovers in the first half, but only 5 in the second. And while seemingly everyone had a hand in the turnovers, you have to wonder what has happened to Tanner Smith. Smith has gone from a solid contributor as a freshman to someone who turns the ball over with alarming frequency. He had two more turnovers in 7 minutes (and 0 points) against Virginia. If this continues Clemson's "deep" bench, suddenly gets a bit shorter.
Furman rallies past Tigers, 4-2 in 14
While it is early in the season, last years disturbing trends are reappearing. While the Tigers have a good ERA (2.55) and fielding percentage (.988), they are struggling at the plate with a .218 team batting average and .325 slugging percentage.
Kyle Parker, a Freshman All-American last year, has managed a .105 batting average through the first 6 games this year.
Tuesday, March 3, 2009
Home stretch
Team | Def Eff | Off Eff | RPI |
Duke | Connecticut | North Carolina | Kansas | Michigan State | Missouri | Memphis | Washington | Wake Forest | Xavier |
Sunday, March 1, 2009
Lost weekend
The baseball team lost to South Carolina 3-1 on Saturday and then got rained out on Sunday.
Friday, February 27, 2009
Projecting wins in baseball
Whether or not this same equation applies to college baseball, I don’t know (I doubt it because of the wide disparity in talent relative to major league teams). But for my purposes I’m going to apply the formula in the present tense and track the Tigers expected wins at various points during the season.
The number looks pretty gaudy right now, but my guess is that with two games against South Carolina coming up this weekend and three against North Carolina next weekend, reality will set in for the Tigers, not only in the Pythagorean expectation but also with regards to the fielding and ERA stats listed in my previous post.
Actual Record | Projected Record |
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Charting Tiger Baseball
As illustrated in the table below the average fielding percentage for teams ranked 17th or better in this category over the last 7 years is .972. The average ERA for teams ranked 22nd or better in the last 7 years is 3.74.
These are good barometers early in the season to get a general idea of how your team is faring and to see where (or if) they fit in the national picture.
It’s important to note that your team needs to meet both of these criteria to be considered a contender. One or the other doesn’t cut it.
7 Year Average | 2009 Clemson | |
Fielding % | Earned Run Average |
Contenders and pretenders
Team | Def Eff | Off Eff | RPI Rank |
Duke | |||
Connecticut | Missouri | North Carolina | Kansas | Memphis | Michigan State | Louisville | Wake Forest | Xavier |
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
Sloppiness dooms Tigers
The Tigers never really appeared to care and they aren't good enough to not care and still win. Now they are staring down the barrel of an away game at Florida State on Saturday afternoon.
Tigers beat Wofford, 8-2
Sunday, February 22, 2009
Tigers rally past Charlotte
Tigers put Jackets away
Saturday, February 21, 2009
Tigers defeat Charlotte 4-0
Clemson and Charlotte complete the 3 games series on Sunday.
Friday, February 20, 2009
No dominant teams
It's become clear that there is no dominant team this year. While there are nine teams that currently have final four potential, only one (UNC) is even close to the offensive efficiency of recent champions.
These are in order of probability of winning the title.Team | |||
North Carolina | |||
Connecticut | |||
Missouri | |||
Duke | |||
Memphis | |||
West Virginia | |||
Michigan State | |||
Kansas | |||
Wake Forest |
Here are three teams that most think are contenders and while they each have the offensive efficiency needed to win it all, they lack the defensive efficiency required (and RPI in UCLA's case). Pitt in particular gets a ton of pub for having a tough defense,but that's not reflected in their defensive stats (at least not at this point).
Team | |||
Pittsburgh | |||
UCLA | |||
Oklahoma |
Tigers baseball team opens with victory
Trey Delk (1-0) was the winning pitcher for Clemson.
Vandals turn into Horned Frogs
Wednesday, February 18, 2009
2nd half lifts Tigers
Five other Tigers hit double figures as Demontez Stitt hit a couple of big three pointers in the first half. David Potter, Tanner Smith and Andre Young were all 2/3 on three pointers off the bench for Clemson and Terrance Oglesby led the Tigers with 6 assists.
There were lapses (like the first 20 minutes) that still are concerning. Even when the Tigers pulled out to a comfortable lead Maryland was getting easy baskets in transition. Something to keep an eye on.
Sunday, February 15, 2009
Tigers upset at Virginia
I think this team is coming back down to earth after spending a good part of the year in the top 10.
Virginia 85 Clemson 81, OT
Box Score
Saturday, February 14, 2009
6 baseball teams to keep an eye on
Keep in mind that I haven't researched what these teams have coming back and what they lost, this is purely a look at their numbers from last year.
As the season moves along we will periodically track the teams that look like they have a chance to move on to Omaha and win the College World Series.
The rankings are from Baseball America.
Team | Preseason Rank | Fielding | ERA | Batting | Slugging |
LSU | North Carolina | Louisville | Miami, FL | Oklahoma State | Kentucky |
Friday, February 13, 2009
Contenders begin to shake out
Team | Def Eff Rank | Off Eff Rank | RPI Rank |
Connecticut | North Carolina | Missouri | Michigan State |
Team | Def Eff Rank | Off Eff Rank | RPI Rank |
Pittsburgh | UCLA | Oklahoma |
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Computer rips Staples
Right before national signing day I linked to a story about Andy Staples of SI.com going head to head against a computer in attemtping to determine where the last 17 remaining top prospects were going to play college ball. Turns out the computer blasted Staples. Staples came in at 4 out of 16 (25%) while the computer was correct on 9 of 16 (56.3%).
On 5 of the prospects both the computer and Staples were wrong.
One player has yet to choose a school.Prospect | Computer | Staples | Actual |
Tajh Boyd | Oregon | Oregon | Clemson |
Tyrik Rollison | Oklahoma State | Auburn | Auburn |
Devon Kennard | USC | Texas | USC |
Rueben Randle | LSU | Alabama | LSU |
Dre Kirkpatrick | Alabama | Alabama | Alabama |
Jelani Jenkins | Penn State | Penn State | Florida |
Manti Te'O | Notre Dame | USC | Notre Dame |
Greg Reid | Georgia | Florida State | Florida State |
Cliff Harris | Oregon | USC | Oregon |
Morgan Moses | Virginia | North Carolina | Virginia |
Patrick Patterson | Ole Miss | Southern Miss | Ole Miss |
Marcus Hall | Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State |
Marlon Brown | Tennessee | Florida | Georgia |
Orson Charles | Florida | Georgia | Undecided |
Xavier Su'a Filo | Utah | LSU | UCLA |
Tana Patrick | Alabama | USC | Alabama |
Jarvis Jones | Georgia | LSU | USC |
Tigers edge BC
Terrance Oglesby also had 21 points, including 6/10 from three point range for the Tigers. Oglesby is an interesting study. He misses layups, dunks and two point field goals, but somehow finds a way to drill 25 footers.
All five of the Tiger starters scored in double figures, which is a good thing because aside from a few good minutes from Tanner Smith the Tigers got zilch from their bench. Not a good sign. Jerai Grant? 0 points, 0 rebounds, 1 block and 4 fouls in 9 minutes.
Next up at Virginia on Sunday.
Sunday, February 8, 2009
Contenders as of February 8
Connecticut | |||
North Carolina | |||
Duke | |||
Missouri | |||
Michigan State | |||
West Virginia | |||
Villanova | |||
Clemson | |||
Kansas | |||
Memphis | |||
Xavier | |||
Tigers implode
I became more concerned, despite Clemson's early lead, when I noticed Trevor Booker had 1 rebound and 2 points near the end of the first half. Not a good sign, but one that should be expected as the taller Seminoles forced Clemson away from Booker.
Clemson obviously has trouble with taller teams (Wake, UNC, FSU) because of the lack of height that the Tigers have.
Now, the Tigers face two road games this week against Boston College and Virginia. Two winnable games, but suddenly the Tigers find themselves with a bunch of question marks.
Wednesday, February 4, 2009
Tigers beat Duke 74-47
Trevor Booker rocked the 'John with 21 points including monstrous dunks, fall away jumpers and everything in between. K.C. Rivers had 7 steals, Terrance Oglesby hit 5 of 11 three pointers and Jerai Grant chipped in 8 points and 3 rebounds as the Tigers thoroughly thrashed Duke.
The challenge now for the Tigers is not being flat in their next game against a pretty good Florida State team on Saturday in Clemson.
Monday, February 2, 2009
Defense wins in baseball, too
With these numbers in mind I decided to look at college baseball and see if a similar pattern emerged.
The table below shows that 6 of the last 7 baseball national champions finished in the top 17 in fielding. Five of the 7 finished in the top 8, and 4 of the 7 finished in the top 5. Strong evidence.
If you add in the fact that 6 of the last 7 champions also finished in the top 22 in ERA an obvious pattern emerges, with the exception of Fresno State last year of course.
Only one team finished in the top 10 in batting and won the championship (Fullerton in 2004). The highest rated slugging team was 56th (also Fullerton in 2004). Other than that year, the highest rated batting average was 41st and the highest slugging percentage was 65th.
In many cases highly ranked offensive teams rolled into Omaha and left on the losing end to a better pitching and fielding team. Some examples: In 2002 Texas came in with the lowest batting average and second lowest slugging percentage of the 8 teams in Omaha. Yet, with a fielding percentage that was 5th in the nation and the 2nd ranked ERA they left as champions. In 2006 Oregon State had the lowest batting average and slugging percentage of the 8 teams in the World Series. However, the Beavers also came in with the second highest defensive rating of the 8 teams and an ERA that ranked 14th nationally. It was the first of two consecutive championships for the defensive and pitching minded club.
The numbers are compelling. Offense sells tickets, defense (and pitching) wins championships.
Year | Team | Batting | Slugging | Fielding | ERA | 2002 | Texas | 2003 | Rice | 2004 | Cal State-Fullerton |
2005 | Texas | ||||
2006 | Oregon State | ||||
2007 | Oregon State | ||||
2008 | Fresno State | ||||
Sunday, February 1, 2009
The Contenders
Over the last 5 years the recipe for reaching the final four has looked like this:
DE<=25 OE<=50 RPI<=27
Interestingly enough, once a team reaches the final four, offensive efficiency becomes much more important.
During that same time frame the recipe for winning the national championship has looked like this:
DE<=12 OE<=4 RPI<=16
Final Four contenders through games of January 31, 2009
Duke | |||
Pitt | |||
North Carolina | |||
Xavier | |||
Connecticut | |||
Wake Forest | |||
Villanova | |||
West Virgina | |||
Washington |
No team meets the national championship criteria at this point, but North Carolina and Pittsburgh are the only two teams with the required offensive efficiency numbers to make the cut and Connecticut is one spot away from being a qualified NC contender.
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Tigers find a way
K.C. Rivers had 29 points, including 7-10 on three pointers, to lead the Tigers, while Trevor Booker chipped in 21 points and 13 rebounds.
As nice as this win looks on paper, the Tigers still have a ton of room for improvement. Start with free throw shooting (14-21, 66.7%). The Tigers missed two of three in the waning seconds, but luckily that didn't come back to haunt them tonight.
Secondly, it appears my concern with Jerai Grant was well founded:12 minutes, 0 points, 2 rebounds, 4 fouls.