Sunday, December 21, 2008

How bad is ACC football?


You hear it every Saturday (and most Thursday’s) during the college football season. The ACC is “down”. The ACC is terrible. The ACC should not have an automatic berth in the BCS. On and on and on by the talking heads.

While I’ll be the first to acknowledge that the ACC doesn’t have an elite team (or two), I would also argue that the ACC isn’t as bad as some would lead you to believe.

Here are some facts that lend credence to my point:

(1) The ACC is 6-4 against the vaunted SEC in head to head matchups (2 more coming up in bowl games).


(2) The ACC is 4-0 against the Big 12 in head to head matchups (1 more coming in the Gator Bowl).


(3) The ACC is ranked #1 in the Sagarin ratings.


(4) The ACC has 10 teams (of 12) in bowl games.


(5) The ACC had 20 former players selected to the Pro Bowl this year vs. 13 for the SEC, 8 for the Big 12 and 7 for the Big 10.


(6) Over the past three years the ACC has had 25 first round selections in the NFL draft, more than any other conference and the ACC’s 115 draft picks overall is also first among conferences.


(7) In the past 3 years an ACC defensive player has been the first defensive player selected in the NFL draft.

While I’m not suggesting that Virginia Tech or Boston College would whip Oklahoma and Texas on a regular basis, I am suggesting that the hype that surrounds the Big 12 and SEC has more to do with television dollars than the quality of football and football players in the conferences.

The two worst ACC teams had 4 (Duke) and 5 (Virginia) wins respectively. Meanwhile, the Big 12 had 5 teams with losing records, the Big 10 and SEC had 4.

What it suggests to me is that these leagues (especially the Big 12) are top heavy as opposed to the “parity” of the ACC. The Big 12 has 5 teams in the AP poll, but they also have 5 teams with losing records. Conversely, while the ACC only has two teams in the AP top 25, it also only has two teams with losing records.

Last time I looked Iowa State, Texas A&M and Baylor were still in the Big 12, but you wouldn’t know that listening to the “Big 12 is the best conference” crowd. For their purposes the Big 12 membership stops at 5 and these three teams are the never talked about step-children in the group home or “institution”.

Often times when you hear an announcer or color analyst praising one conference and bashing another it relates directly to what TV or radio contract a particular conference is tied to. For example, expect to hear ESPN heap more praises (if that's possible) on the SEC in the future as the network begins broadcasting SEC games.

Saturday, December 20, 2008

Gator Bowl tickets become a hot item



Clemson has sold it's initial allotment of 13,500 tickets and has requested more. The Clemson athletic department is expecting 30,000 Clemson fans to travel to Jacksonville for the Gator Bowl on January 1.

Most of these fans will be staying in hotels and buying food, gas and other items in the Jacksonville area. And Florida State still wonders why Clemson was chosen over the Seminoles for the Gator Bowl.

Thursday, December 18, 2008

ACC Bowl Predictions

I finished the ACC season with a 65-31 record straight up (67.8%) and 49-32-1 record (60.5%)against the spread.

The bowl season is typically unpredictable with the long layoffs before the teams play and the motivation or non-motivation of given teams. Nonetheless, here are my predictions for the bowl games involving ACC teams.

Wake Forest 20 (-3) vs. Navy 16
North Carolina (E) 23 West Virginia 21
Florida State (-5) 27 Wisconsin 21
California (-7) 31 Miami 20
Rutgers 23 N.C. State (+7) 20
Maryland (+ 1 ½) 27 Nevada 24
Boston College (-4) 26 Vanderbilt 17
Georgia Tech (-3 ½) 31 LSU 24
Clemson (-2 ½) 21 Nebraska 17
Virginia Tech (+ 1 ½) 21 Cincinnati 20

Wednesday, December 17, 2008

Tigers destroy Ospreys, 76-36




Clemson moved to 11-0 in workman-like fashion behind Trevor Booker's 16 points and 10 rebounds on Tuesday.

Yet you still have to wonder about the overall depth of this team beyond 8 or maybe 9 players (if Jerai Grant is contributing that night). Tanner Smith and Andre Young appear to be able to contribute off the bench, but Bobo Baciu appears to be a longer term project and Brian Narcisse only saw 3 minutes of action in a 40 point rout.

Secondarily, free throws are cropping up as an issue again. The Tigers were 12-19 (63%) for the game. I realize two of those misses were by seldom used Zach Anderson, but when your point guards combine to go 4-8, you have to be a little concerned.

Clemson plays at Miami (7-2) on Sunday in the ACC opener for both teams.

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

1 vs. 343


The Tigers finally cracked the top 25 on Monday and also reached the top spot in the RPI rankings. To celebrate this momentous feat the Tigers face a team on the complete opposite end of the spectrum in North Florida - who happens to be ranked 343 out of 343 teams in RPI at this point in the season.


The Tigers still have work to do (and some bench help to find) before facing Miami in the ACC opener on Sunday.

Monday, December 15, 2008

Bowl Goodies

Interesting story from the Greenville News on what Clemson players receive as gifts from the Gator Bowl. Another interesting facet is the financial terms - it really doesn't matter what bowl the Tigers are in as they share bowl revenue equally with the other members of the ACC. So whether they play in Boise (Humanitarian) or Miami (Orange) they end up with the same amount of cash at the end (assuming the same number of ACC teams are in bowls).

Sunday, December 14, 2008

Tigers begin prep for Huskers

Clemson began preparing for Nebraska on Friday and continued the work on Saturday. The Tigers face the Cornhuskers January 1 in the Gator Bowl.